{"id":17342,"date":"2023-07-12T06:39:43","date_gmt":"2023-07-12T10:39:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/pierrejoris.com\/blog\/?p=17342"},"modified":"2023-07-12T06:40:52","modified_gmt":"2023-07-12T10:40:52","slug":"amazon-in-the-firetrap","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/pierrejoris.com\/blog\/amazon-in-the-firetrap\/","title":{"rendered":"Amazon in the firetrap:"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/pierrejoris.com\/blog\/amazon-in-the-firetrap\/download-9\/\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-17344\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-17344 lazyload\" data-src=\"https:\/\/pierrejoris.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/download.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"532\" height=\"354\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/pierrejoris.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/download.jpg 275w, https:\/\/pierrejoris.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/download-272x182.jpg 272w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 532px) 100vw, 532px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 532px; --smush-placeholder-aspect-ratio: 532\/354;\" \/><\/a>Deforestation and warming lock rainforest in dry and damaged grassland state<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Press release by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400; text-align: justify;\"><strong>07\/12\/2023 &#8211; Global warming and drastic deforestation could dry out the Amazon rainforest faster and enforce the risk of keeping it downright fire-trapped. A new study published in Nature Communications Earth and Environment shows: Fire can be a decisive factor for a potential tipping of the Amazon rainforest, as it is capable of locking large parts of the Amazon in a treeless state. While naturally not occurring in rainforests, fire can play an increasing role once the forest is damaged, thinned or completely lost, up to a status where fire is the dominating driver of the ecosystem. <\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400; text-align: justify;\">\u201cIt turns out, fire is the important factor for locking the Amazon in a grassland state, preventing 56-86% of the Amazon from regrowing, depending on the strength of climate change\u201d, lead author Markus Dr\u00fcke from the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) explains. \u201cWe know that reversing the Amazon forest loss becomes increasingly harder the more forest is lost, and our study shows that fire puts another lever onto this coherence.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Usually, the trees of the Amazon transport enormous amounts of water back to the atmosphere, which they originally received as rain. This water can form new rain locally or downwind in a process called moisture recycling basically forming \u201cflying rivers\u201d, not only stabilizing the Amazon as whole but also enabling it to extent into regions which would be too dry without this process. This coherence is the main reason why the Amazon is considered a tipping element of the Earth system. Global warming and deforestation can damage these flying rivers leading to a self-reinforcing feedback of forest loss. The new study now underlines how fire dynamics help to push and lock the Amazon towards and in a savanna-like or treeless state.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400; text-align: justify;\"><strong>Fire plays key role in irreversible transition<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400; text-align: justify;\">In contrast, in simulations without fire, the forest was able to recover over a longer time period of within 250 years, which emphasizes the important role of fire for the irreversibility of tropical deforestation.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400; text-align: justify;\">\u201cFor the first time, it has been possible to calculate the feedbacks between fire, rainforest and climate in a process-based manner using the Earth system model POEM (Potsdam Earth Model)\u201d, adds co-author Kirsten Thonicke, Deputy Head of Research Department on Earth System Analysis and Working Group Leader on Ecosystem in Transitions at PIK. \u201cOur results highlight the need to keep the Earth system within stable boundaries and limit climate change as well as tropical deforestation in order to prevent the tropical forest from crossing an irreversible fire-controlled tipping point\u201d, she concludes.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400; text-align: justify;\"><strong>Article:<\/strong> Markus Dr\u00fcke, Boris Sakschewski, Werner von Bloh, Maik Billing, Wolfgang Lucht, Kirsten Thonicke (2023): Fire may prevent future Amazon forest recovery after large-scale deforestation. Nature Communications Earth and Environment. [DOI: 10.1038\/s43247-023-00911-5]<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400; text-align: justify;\"><strong>Weblink to the article<\/strong>: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s43247-023-00911-5\">https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s43247-023-00911-5<\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>For further information please contact:<\/strong><br \/>\nPIK press office<br \/>\nPhone: +49 331 288 25 07<br \/>\nE-Mail: <a href=\"mailto:press@pik-potsdam.de\">press@pik-potsdam.de<\/a><br style=\"font-weight: 400;\" \/><a href=\"http:\/\/www.pik-potsdam.de\/\">www.pik-potsdam.de<\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400; text-align: justify;\"><strong>Who we are:<\/strong> The Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) is one of the leading research institutions addressing relevant questions in the fields of global change, climate impacts and sustainable development. Natural and social scientists work closely together to generate interdisciplinary insights that provide a sound basis for decision-making for society, businesses and politics. PIK is a member of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.leibniz-gemeinschaft.de\/en\/home\/\">Leibniz Association<\/a>. <strong><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Deforestation and warming lock rainforest in dry and damaged grassland state Press release by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) 07\/12\/2023 &#8211; Global warming and drastic deforestation could dry out the Amazon&#46;&#46;&#46;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17342","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-climate-change"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/pierrejoris.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17342","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/pierrejoris.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/pierrejoris.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pierrejoris.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pierrejoris.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17342"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/pierrejoris.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17342\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":17348,"href":"https:\/\/pierrejoris.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17342\/revisions\/17348"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/pierrejoris.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17342"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pierrejoris.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17342"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pierrejoris.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17342"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}